Open-source elite mapping

The Chinese Foreign Policy Elite Atlas

method — how people were found, ranked and checked

How the podium has changed

How much of this is checked

serving now ever posted China: based here, not posted
method

Every posting in the Chinese Diplomats Biographical Database, by country. Shade = people we hold who have ever been posted there; dot = how many are currently in post, from China's own appointment decrees where they speak and a verified profile otherwise. China is different in kind: nobody is "posted" to it, so it counts the people based there — a confirmed headquarters post, a serving PLA rank or a seat on the 20th Central Committee — which is what puts the Beijing desks on a map of where the elite sit.

Select a country.
method
Select a province, or open a person to see how they moved through life.

The issues these officials are documented as working on, grouped into a controlled vocabulary from the free text of each researched profile. Click an issue to see who carries it and what they have actually said about it — or search for an issue OR a country below (a country isn't one of the controlled categories, but the MFA podium and embassy corpus both cover it directly).

Select an issue above, or search for an issue or a country.
method — how issues were grouped, and how stance is decided

In their own words

Verbatim, sourced quotations — never paraphrase — from ministry transcripts, embassy statements, signed op-eds and interviews, about the ISSUES themselves (not about the people who said them — see the People tab for that). Each carries its source and whether that source still supports it. Search or click a topic, then click a quotation to open the person who said it.

method

Ties are computed from data we hold, never inferred: who succeeded whom in a post, who served in the same country or MFA department at the same time, who went to the same graduate school, and — for researched profiles — sourced ties carrying their verification status.

Dot size runs with rank — the biggest dots are tier 1. Click anyone to drop into their own network.

Most connected

By school

Pick a person above, or open anyone's page and use "show ties".

method — the evidence, the limits, and the full scoring table

How people actually reached the top

Every person in the atlas with a researched career record, asked one question: of those who reached vice-ministerial rank or above, what had they done first? The outcome is read from rank words and Central Committee seats only — never from an ambassadorship — for the reason given below. Military careers are held out and counted separately: they run a different ladder.

Why this is a watchlist and not a forecast

Who was scored

The score, in full

Nothing below is a coefficient fitted to our own data — the section above explains why the data cannot carry one. Each row is a convention of the Chinese system, or a route marker from the evidence above, stated so that a reader can disagree with the row rather than with an unexplained ordering.

Research queue

People you have marked for promotion into the fully-researched tier. The list lives in this browser only; copy it out to make it real.

Save the JSON below as data/promote_requests.json and run python3 scripts/12_promote_queue.py. That validates the ids, writes data/promoted.csv (so these people carry a "queued" badge on the next build), and writes a ready-to-dispatch research prompt pre-filled with everything the map already holds on each of them.

Who do I need to talk to?

For a policymaker with a problem: pick your country and what has come up, and this assembles who in China's foreign-policy system is likely to be handling it, who is likely to come into contact with you, and what Beijing has already said about it — each name with the reason it is on the list.

method — how people are matched, and what this cannot tell you

Choose your country and a situation to build the briefing.

Track Two

Academics, think-tank figures, and other people who shape or transmit Chinese foreign-policy thinking OUTSIDE the formal state hierarchy the rest of this atlas is built around — no rank, no tier ladder, and a different kind of influence (citations, dialogue participation, media reach) rather than a government post. Where someone here also holds a roster entry, the two pages link to each other.